Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa had surgical procedure on his proper ankle on Sunday, and the restoration timetable of final yr’s Heisman Trophy runner-up would be the dominant storyline of the second one part of the season.
Tagovailoa, who has 2,166 yards, 27 passing touchdowns and two interceptions this season, is 21-1 as a starter and has led the Pink Tide again to the highest of the AP Most sensible 25, Coaches Ballot and Carrying Information peak 25. That harm, then again, has doable ripple results that can impact now not simplest this week’s recreation in opposition to Arkansas, but in addition the SEC West image, the SEC championship recreation, the Heisman Trophy race and, in fact, the School Soccer Playoff image.
MORE: Tagovailoa proves his worth in absence vs. Tennessee
When will Tagovailoa be again? Alabama trainer Nick Saban stated on Monday he has no timetable for his megastar quarterback’s go back. The junior reportedly informed teammates he’d be again for the Pink Tide’s doable “Recreation of the Century” in opposition to No. 2 LSU, however there is truly no ensure he will be 100 % through then.
Rather than that, no large deal. Let’s take a look at the ones doable affects his ankle will have at the school soccer panorama, one after the other:
Alabama may just drop from No. 1
Mac Jones gets the beginning for Alabama in opposition to Arkansas in Week 9. Jones has performed in 12 video games the final two seasons, most commonly in mop-up accountability, and was once 6 of 11 for 72 yards on Saturday in opposition to Tennessee. Jones will have to be higher after a complete week of apply within the No. 1 spot, however for argument’s sake shall we say he struggles in opposition to Arkansas and the Pink Tide are underwhelming in victory.
That, blended with a resounding LSU victory in opposition to No. Nine Auburn (which will be the Tigers’ 3rd victory in opposition to a top-10 crew), may just drop Alabama to No. 2 within the polls. If now not LSU, then Ohio State may just leap into the highest spot with a blowout in opposition to Wisconsin.
Regardless, it would not be a marvel to look the Pink Tide at No. three or No. Four within the preliminary Playoff scores when they are unveiled on Nov. 5, given the committee components accidents into its peak 25.
Will Tagovailoa play in opposition to LSU?
It is possible Tagovailoa is probably not in a position for the LSU recreation, and that may put a damper on a possible regular-season “Recreation of the Century.” LSU’s Joe Burrow is one of the Heisman entrance runners, and he may just lead the Tigers to their first win in opposition to the Pink Tide since 2011 (coincidentally, additionally a gathering between school soccer’s peak two groups).
That would go away Alabama in place to complete 11-1, and possibly Tagovailoa may just go back in a while to scorch Mississippi State, Western Carolina and Auburn. That would possibly now not wow the committee sufficient, however a one-loss Alabama crew would nonetheless be thought to be one of the crucial very best groups within the nation.
Now we have observed this earlier than.
What in regards to the SEC championship?
Sooner than we leap into Playoff concerns, let’s first take a look at the SEC championship recreation. If LSU represents the West and both Florida or Georgia represents the East, then who would the Pink Tide root for whilst sitting at house?
— If LSU is undefeated, then root for the Tigers and play the “We did not have Tua” card whilst lobbying for a Playoff spot.
— If LSU has one loss, then root for Georgia or Florida. It might be a double bonus if Auburn beat Georgia and the Bulldogs had two losses entering the sport.
Bear in mind, the committee hasn’t ever decided on a two-loss crew to make the School Soccer Playoff. This is able to be Alabama’s probability to paintings the machine once more, and no crew has executed that higher within the Playoff generation.
MORE: Week Nine Playoff image
Alabama vs. one-loss convention champion
Alabama took a Playoff spot in 2017, in spite of now not making the SEC championship recreation — they usually made just right at the alternative through profitable the nationwide championship. Would that elevate weight in opposition to the opposite top-five groups, will have to they endure an inexplicable loss alongside the way in which? Let’s test it out:
Alabama received that argument with Ohio State in 2017. What if the Buckeyes lose to Michigan however nonetheless win the Giant Ten championship? That may be a fascinating face-off.
Would you are taking 11-1 Alabama over Clemson if the Tigers misplaced to any of the rest groups on their agenda (Boston School, Wofford, N.C. State, Wake Woodland, South Carolina)?
Let’s play the similar recreation with Oklahoma, who may just lose to any of Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor, TCU or Oklahoma State.
The Buckeyes, Tigers and Sooners higher win out simply to make sure they don’t seem to be in that last-one-in argument with the Pink Tide. That stated, this is not the one manner during which Tagovailoa’s harm impacts Oklahoma.
Jalen Hurts wins the Heisman
Tagovailoa leads the FBS with a 95.6 overall quarterback ranking. Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts is 2d at 95.2. Hurts, in fact, transferred from Alabama final season and is within the Heisman Trophy combine together with LSU’s Joe Burrow and Ohio State’s Justin Fields.
Hurts can win this award in accordance with statistics on my own, in accordance with the truth the final two Heisman winners — Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray — performed for Lincoln Riley within the defense-optional Giant 12. Murray received the Heisman with a 95.Four quarterback ranking final season.
Hurts ranks 2d within the FBS in overall offense (397.Zero ypg.) and is tied for 2d in issues chargeable for (180). He will pad the ones stats the remainder of the season, and it will have to be greater than sufficient to win the award. Would that affect the Playoff pairings for an Oklahoma-Alabama matchup if the chance gifts itself? That is one situation, however we are searching for some other one as an alternative.
Tagovailoa’s harm might be the work-around to a Clemson-Alabama V matchup within the nationwide championship recreation.
When Alabama made the Playoff in 2017, the Tide met Clemson within the semifinal in a 1-vs.-Four matchup. An Alabama loss would permit the committee some freedom with its seeding, and it is a just right guess it could position the Pink Tide in a matchup with the Tigers with the intention to create the chance for a brand new championship recreation.
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