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Twin TAB Freeway winner The Lion is ready to roar again into best shape within the characteristic Jacaranda Cup (1106m) at Grafton after a luckless lead-up run within the Prelude final month.
The Michelle Fleming-trained gelding was once crunched from $10 to $6.50 to win the Jacaranda Cup Prelude (1100m) however paid the penalty for his vast draw and raced in limited room at the concluding phases.
After all, The Lion did smartly to complete 5th with handiest two of the ones clocked in forward of him backing up right here specifically Extra Patasi (2d) and San Sierra (fourth).
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“I didn’t suppose the run was once too unhealthy and I believed he completed off properly,’’ Fleming mentioned.
“Clearly I might have appreciated a greater barrier that day however I’ve one this time which is just right as a result of then he can shuttle up there and bit slightly bit nearer. He gained’t must make up as a lot flooring.
“He were given a little of a bump bobbing up the instantly within the Prelude and he’s this kind of horse who has to paintings into, and that bump out him off slightly bit. He nonetheless regathered and got here house somewhat smartly.’’
The Lion’s Prelude efficiency was once much more encouraging given what it has executed for him bodily.
“I feel the run did him the arena of excellent,’’ Fleming mentioned. “He is a superb do-er and he’s exhausting to get the load off however he’s beautiful just right presently. He’s truly spot on.
SHAYNE O’CASS’S BEST BETS
BLING ‘N’ BUBBLES (Race 1, No.1)
Matthew Dunn-trained daughter of All Too Exhausting who is going up 3kg for her final get started win right here over 1410m however is a greater horse than the others. She simply has to turn out herself as efficient on the 1610m.
LADY GRANDE (Race 5, No.5)
Former John Sargent-trained mare has been with Ethan Ensby at Ballina for 2 runs — working 2d on the first one and successful the opposite simply, by way of two lengths right here over 1700m. Can stay progressing.
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
THE LION (Race 7, No.10)
Had no success when 5th within the Prelude to this race at his final get started. Twin Freeway winner who’s drawn higher these days and will simply determine.
Race 5: 5. Race 6: 1,2. Race 7: 1,10. Race 8: 1,3,4,10.
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
MATTHEW MCGUREN rode a double on the final Grafton assembly. Considered one of them was once Bling ‘N’ Bubbles, who must kick him off at the proper word right here.
SCROLL DOWN FOR SHAYNE’ EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS
“That is my first little challenge that I’ve set for him so the Prelude was once absolute best simply to set him up for it and he’s a horse who are you able to back-up every week later. He pulled up truly smartly.’’
The Lion has began 30 occasions and has been ridden by way of Sincero’s jockey Chris O’Brien at 18 of them together with at his first Freeway win the place he got here from close to final to win by way of two lengths.
That mentioned, O’Brien is 3rd in line in The Lion’s supporters at the back of Fleming herself and previous leviathan bookmaker Bruce McHugh who bred the pony at Tamalee Stud positioned at Tamworth the place The Lion is housed.
The Lion is a son of McHugh’s underrated stallion Arlington who in addition to being a $1.Five million sale topper on the Magic Thousands and thousands Sale, may be a part brother to Cox Plate winner and five-times Champion NZ sire Savabeel. “The Lion was once just a two-year-old after I first were given him. I put him within the paddock and let him develop — and he did,’’ Fleming joked.
“I’ve had him for a very long time however I leased him off Bruce who bred the pony so he was once a little excited after I gained a Walcha maiden with him at handiest his 2d ever get started.’’
Fleming purchased The Lion’s complete brother as a weanling for $7000 from McHugh, the now unraced two-year-old named in honour of her giant brother, known as The Little Lion.
Interim, Matthew Dunn is aiming to safe a 2d $125,000 Nation Vintage (2000m) at Rosehill this weekend with final get started Eagle Farm winner Royal For Threat however now not earlier than optimistically bagging a double within the first two races at Grafton.
Dunn gained the inaugural Nation Vintage with Danzero gelding Flitero, a son of Flitter who gained the Doomben 10,000 and Coolmore Vintage when educated by way of the overdue Max Lees.
Coincidentally, Flitter is the grand-dam of Dunn’s Royal Issue who’s completely poised to check in his 3rd win at get started 5 in these days’s CRJC Existence Contributors Cup (1410m).
Royal Issue broke his maiden standing at Grafton in no unsure phrases blasting his technique to a 2.8-lengths win over the 1100m.
The son of US sire The Issue was once fourth on the Gold Coast 18 days later earlier than a go back to the winner’s stall in a 1300m Benchmark 58 at Lismore, main all over in a gritty show.
“He has executed a just right task and was once just right final get started,’’ Dunn mentioned.
“He will get in smartly on the weights with the declare and has executed truly smartly. He has taken a short time to seek out his groove however he’s going smartly sufficient to be midweek town grade in this day and age. If he can recover from this he would possibly step to that stage.’’
Dunn’s different runner at Grafton these days, Bling ‘N’ Bubbles, may be a final get started winner at this similar venue as just lately as 8 days in the past.
The daughter of All Too Exhausting managed the race from the entrance and was once by no means challenged within the instantly forging to a 1.6-lengths win.
All she has to do now could be take that shape to the mile within the opener.
“I feel she is going to run the mile OK,’’ Dunn mentioned. “We put her on velocity and she or he truly hit the road final get started. It’s a equivalent race — they don’t glance a lot just right once more — so she will get her probability needless to say.’’
Bling ‘N’ Bubbles is going up 3kg for her final get started however Dunn has elected to stay with Matthew McGuren who’s ‘one for one’ at the mare.
“I tossed round with the speculation of striking a child on however she is this kind of mare who must be ridden by way of somebody that may be a bit competitive so we caught with a senior rider,’’ he mentioned.
SHAYNE O’CASS’S INSIDE MAIL
RACE 1 (2pm)
Bling ‘N’ Bubbles is a Matthew Dunn-trained mare by way of All Too Exhausting who has a forged report of 2 wins and 3 placings from 10 begins. She led and gained by way of 1.6 lengths right here on October 29 in a 1400m Elegance 1. Is going up 3kg and has to run the mile now however no reason why she gained’t. Penny Rosa was once 3rd to Bling ‘N’ Bubbles 8-days in the past. Meets her higher 2kg on the weights these days. Queen of Long island was once hopefully subsidized and did it smartly at Narromine first-up.
BET: BLING ‘N’ BUBBLES win, exacta 1 to overcome 3.
RACE 2 (2.35pm)
Matthew Dunn’s 2d and handiest different runner at the day is Royal Issue, a lightly-raced horse who has gained two of his 4 begins and was once fourth/5th on the different two. This fellow led and confirmed some combat when challenged to win at Lismore final get started. Modern sufficient. Reef Malicious program became in the most productive run of the marketing campaign to this point when narrowly overwhelmed at Ipswich. May threaten. At Witz Finish has gained 3 from six at this similar monitor and distance.
BET: ROYAL FACTOR win.
RACE 3 (3.10pm)
Shy Boy is a son of Testa Rossa who has been in a position to position at 3 of his seven begins. Two of the ones placings had been at his handiest runs for ‘new’ teacher Stephen Lee, who has as soon as once more discovered the easiest race for the pony to wreck his maiden. Line Up Ladies held his flooring first-up when 5th at Port Macquarie at the heavy monitor. Ran 7th of 8 to Classique Legend — overwhelmed 15-lengths however nonetheless … it is a Grafton maiden. Tactical Transfer is a marketplace watch.
BET: SHY BOY win, exacta 6 to overcome 3.
RACE 4 (3.50pm)
Beachbreak isn’t any just right factor to begin right here, it sort of feels that the strong will likely be represented by way of the primary starter Flatter as an alternative. Flatter is a filly owned by way of the Mitchell brothers of Yarraman Stud repute and is by way of their former resident sire Hinchinbrook. She is a part to Courageous Music and her grand-dam gained the Queensland Oaks and Derby. Cross smartly. Lonny Lonny is getting with regards to a win now and may be very acquainted with the monitor together with her final 4 runs all being at Grafton.
BET: BEACHBREAK win or if scratched, FLATTER win.
RACE 5 (4.30pm)
Woman Grande had her first seven begins for John Sargent and maximum of them had been beautiful forged. She has been with Ethan Ensby for 2 runs, completing 2d at Ballina on the first one then successful simply (on tempo) right here at Grafton over 1700m. Bred to stick so the 2200m holds no fears on this grade. Crimson Instinct made some flooring within the instantly when 2.Four lengths off the winner in a 2012m Elegance 1 at Port Mac. Kingly is an overly constant horse from an astute strong.
BET: LADY GRANDE win.
RACE 6 (5.05pm)
Vegareign is a Kris Lees-trained son of the French Derby winner and really underrated stallion Lope de Vega. This gelding has positioned at two of his 5 begins. One was once at his most up-to-date day out the place he completed 3rd to the aforementioned Woman Grande. Will get his probability once more these days. Leave out Gem must be outstanding from the outset and is last in on a maiden win. Unharness The Crimson belied his $101 quote when overwhelmed a period right here final time.
BET: VEGAREIGN win, quinella 1,2.
RACE 7 (5.40pm)
The Lion is a twin Freeway winner who as soon as beat Burning Crown. The Michelle Fleming-trained son of Arlington didn’t have the most productive of success at the Prelude getting again early and racing tight overdue. He must be capable to place up handier from the great draw and we all know he tries exhausting. Jadentom is a Toowoomba customer who was once overwhelmed 3.5-lengths by way of Alassio at Randwick final prep. 2d-up off a forged run at Eagle Farm. Dream Grasp is in nice shape.
BET: THE LION win, field trifecta 1,2,6,10.
RACE 8 (6.15pm)
Bugalugs has had the only run for John Shelton and there was once lots to be keen about. That was once on October 21 right here in a Elegance 1 over 1100m the place he completed 2d to Moonhawk who is going beautiful smartly. Step up in distance is no doubt in his favour. Midweek Hussler was once closely subsidized final get started right here additionally when runner-up in a 1200m Bm66. Taken On Probability and Barbary are price taking into consideration.
BET: Bugalugs win, quinella 3,4.