Fantasy Baseball Picks: High DraftKings MLB DFS Targets, Values for August 4

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Fantasy Baseball Picks: High DraftKings MLB DFS Targets, Values for August 4



Wednesday options an 11-game MLB foremost slate, and the motion on DraftKings will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s go position-by-position and break down all the things you’ll have to know to set your lineups.

PITCHER
Stud
Kevin Gausman, San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks ($9,700) — In his final begin, he bounced again and earned 9 strikeouts in opposition to a Houston staff that doesn’t strike out — their 19.4% Ok fee is the bottom by a large margin. Nevertheless, within the begin earlier than that, the Gausman chalk busted in opposition to Pittsburgh. His swinging strike fee was down from 14.8% to a season low 5.6%, and his known as strike fee was down from 16.9% to a season low 11.3%. From there, he allowed 88.9% contact, of which 50% was onerous — he was fortunate to submit a .412 BABIP and never increased. Typically pitchers don’t have it, and Gausman admitted after the sport that he had been struggling along with his split-finger fastball during the last two video games. Gausman’s splitter is one of the best in baseball and the explanation that he had the bottom ERA heading into that matchup. Usually, Gausman makes use of the splitter 42% of the time, however in opposition to Pittsburgh, he couldn’t management it, so his finest pitch was holstered (10.1% utilization). The spin fee on the pitch has dropped precipitously (1,713 RPMs at its peak, and now under 1,400 RPMs in his final three begins), and so have the swings and misses. The query then is how did be bounce again in opposition to the Astros? He relied on his four-seam fastball and generated a season excessive 37.8% known as strike fee. That is the crux of the Gausman play on Wednesday evening. Houston takes extra strikes than any staff in baseball (18.3%), however Arizona is second (18.0%). If Gausman finds his splitter, then nice, but when not — he ought to be capable to catch Arizona batters wanting along with his four-seamer.
Different Choice: Shohei Ohtani ($9,500)
Worth
Alec Mills, Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies ($5,800) — This part defaults to the pitcher dealing with Colorado, however there’s extra to this play than selecting on Colorado. Usually, taking a pitcher in Coors Discipline, even in opposition to a poor Rockies membership just isn’t the popular play. Nevertheless, Mills is the kind of pitcher that needs to be superb in Colorado. Even when the Rockies have one one of the best residence information in baseball and the second highest residence wOBA (.342), Mills can nonetheless hit worth at this value. Working in Mills favor is the truth that Colorado is cooling off or quitting — .301 wOBA at residence in July (twenty fifth). Nevertheless, the most important motive to play Mills is that he’s a floor ball pitcher — 2.4 GO/AO, 55% floor ball fee and a 27% onerous contact fee. His final begin was at Cincinnati, and he gave up three runs over six innings, surrendering just one residence run to who apart from the purple scorching Joey Votto. That residence run hints at his largest weak spot (3.48 xFIP vs. RHB, however a 5.21 xFIP vs. LHB). The excellent news for Mills is that Colorado has one lefty that has an above-average wOBA in opposition to right-handed pitching (Ryan McMahon — .352 wOBA), and whereas he’s been scorching this month, his ISO is a innocent .111.
Different Choice: Jon Grey ($7,200)
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CATCHER
Stud
Eric Haase, Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Pink Sox ($4,800) — Contemporary off being named the AL Rookie of the Month for July, Haase attracts a good matchup with Eduardo Rodriguez ($9,000) — .337 wOBA and a .375 BABIP in opposition to right-handed batters. In July, Hasse hit 9 residence runs and picked up 29 RBIs (.391 wOBA, .361 ISO and a 150 wRC+). Nearly all of that harm was in opposition to left-handed pitching — 5 residence runs and 14 RBIs (.513 wOBA, .536 ISO and a 232 wRC+).
Different Choice: J.T. Realmuto ($5,400)
Worth
Gary Sánchez, New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles ($4,400) — This isn’t a steal, however he’s priced considerably decrease than his Gary “The Sanchize” price ticket (google Gary Sánchez’s nickname and the one identify that may come up is “The Kraken.” Why is his actual nickname being scrubbed from the web?) Maybe the wage is right for The Kraken. He has a .202 ISO in opposition to right-handed pitching, however that’s all he’s doing proper. The worth tag can be decrease, however he’s dealing with The Darkish Knight, Matt Harvey ($5,300). Based mostly on Harvey’s stats this season — 4.18 xFIP and .376 wOBA vs. RHB — Harvey Dent or Two Face is extra relevant. The worth isn’t dangerous for a hitter with pop versus a mercurial pitcher in a hitter’s park.
Different Choice: Yadier Molina ($3,800)

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups right here: MLB $300K Further Inning [$100K to 1st]
FIRST BASE
Stud
Max Muncy, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros ($5,500) — Houston adjustments folks. Pitchers signal with the Astros and plenty of of their flaws miraculously vanish. Jake Odorizzi ($9,800) was a reverse break up pitcher earlier than arriving in Houston — 4.43 profession xFIP vs. RHB and 5.26 xFIP in 2021 vs. RHB. This season, he has a 3.96 xFIP vs. RHB, however his xFIP to LHB has ballooned to five.20 (.342 wOBA, .253 ISO and 1.7 HR/9). That’s not good, nevertheless it’s pure to wrestle with the alternative aspect of the plate and that’s the place Muncy hits (.394 wOBA, .270 ISO, 151 wRC+ and a 41% onerous contact fee in opposition to right-handed pitching).
Different Choice: Paul Goldschmidt ($5,300)
Worth
Ryan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies ($4,100) — He’s been higher in opposition to lefties, and usually Josh Bell ($4,600) will get a lot of the work in opposition to right-handed pitching, however Chase Anderson ($6,100) has faired effectively in opposition to left-handed batters (.288 wOBA) whereas fighting right-handed batters (.437 wOBA). The pattern dimension in opposition to Anderson is small (44 innings), however righties have a .274 ISO versus a .166 ISO from lefties. If Bell does draw the beginning, then he’s superb. Anderson has not been good in opposition to lefties, he’s been fortunate — 5.72 xFIP and a .182 BABIP.
Different Choice: Patrick Knowledge ($4,300)
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SECOND BASE
Stud
Ozzie Albies, Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals ($4,900) — The Cardinals traded for J.A. Happ ($7,500). Do they know one thing that nobody else does or is that this a case of galaxy mind. The latter appears probably as a result of additionally they traded for Jon Lester. In Happ’s final begin, he allowed 9 earned runs in three innings. This season he has a 6.77 xFIP and in opposition to right-handed batters he has a .397 wOBA, .275 ISO, 36% onerous contact fee and a couple of.2 HR/9. Albies has a .393 wOBA, .267 ISO, 145 wRC+ and a 12% Ok fee in opposition to left-handed pitching.
Different Choice: Marcus Semien ($5,300)
Worth
David Fletcher, Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers ($) — His value lower signifies that he’s now not purple scorching, however he’s enjoying effectively. For the reason that All-Star break, Fletcher’s 31% onerous contact fee won’t appear nice, nevertheless it’s fairly robust for a hitter that has a 6.2% Ok fee over that span. Some energy hitters amass onerous contact charges north of 40%, however they strike out 25% of the time. Fletcher’s decrease onerous contact fee and decrease Ok fee end in an precise increased amount of onerous hit Batted Ball Occasions as a result of 90% of his plate look end in contact.
Different Choice: Sergio Alcántara ($2,800)
THIRD BASE
Stud
Rafael Devers, Boston Pink Sox at Detroit Tigers ($) — Casey Mize ($8,800) is a typical right-handed prospect that struggles with left-handed batters — .346 wOBA, .248 ISO, 47% onerous contact fee and a couple of.2 HR/9. Rafeal Devers is THE typical left-handed star that mashes right-handed pitching — .408 wOBA (eleventh), .353 ISO (fourth), 159 wRC+ (tenth) and a 50% onerous contact fee (first).
Different Choice: Nolan Arenado ($5,600), Cavan Biggio ($4,600)
Worth
Ryan McMahon, Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs ($) — The hedge guess needs to be mentioned. If DFS gamers will not be bought on Alec Mills — he’s a $5,800 pitcher at Colorado — then McMahon is price a tough look. Mills is a rookie that struggles with lefties, the place have we heard that earlier than (.364 wOBA and a 16% Ok fee)? McMahon has been nice at Coors in opposition to right-handed pitching (.416 wOBA, .294 ISO and a 147 wRC+) and he’s been scorching during the last month (.384 wOBA and a 127 wRC+)
Different Choice: Tyler Wade ($2,700)
SHORTSTOP

Stud
Corey Seager, Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros ($4,600) — It’s about time for Seager to shake off the cobwebs. His matchup with Jake Odorizzi will probably be his fourth begin since getting back from the IL. For the reason that begin of the 2020 season, Seager has a .363 wOBA, .201 ISO and a 42.8% onerous contact fee. Final season in opposition to right-handed pitching, Seager had a 53.3% onerous contact fee with a 37.5% fly ball fee. On Wednesday evening, he’ll face a pitcher that’s permitting a 47% fly ball fee to left-handed batters. This can be a nice alternative for Seager to return to his 2020 kind.
Different Choice: Tim Anderson ($5,900)
Worth
Dansby Swanson, Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals ($4,200) — The Braves will probably be well-liked tonight in opposition to J.A. Happ. Swanson is priced too low and will probably be featured in most stacks and as a one off. In opposition to left-handed pitching, Swanson has a .309 wOBA, .242 ISO, 90 wRC+ and a 41% onerous contact fee. The consistency is missing, however the energy is there.
Different Choice: Miguel Rojas ($3,700)
OUTFIELD
Stud
Cedric Mullins, Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees ($4,500) — He’s nowhere near being the very best priced outfielder on this slate, however he can rating fantasy factors with one of the best of them. Mullins has a .396 wOBA, .237 ISO, 155 wRC+ and a 37% onerous contact fee in opposition to right-handed pitchers, and Jameson Taillon ($10,200) is permitting a .336 wOBA, .213 ISO, 2.0 HR/9 and a 52% onerous contact fee to left-handed batters. This sport is in a hitter’s park and Mullins is on a 12-game hit streak.
Different Choice: Juan Soto ($6,100)
Worth
Raimel Tapia, Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs ($3,700) — The Colorado stack is affordable for a sport at Coors area, however Alec Mills just isn’t a fuel can. A one-off worth play from this sport is an appropriate roster development possibility. Tapia has been good in opposition to right-handed pitching in Coors (.360 wOBA and a .200 ISO) and he’s scorching — .412 wOBA and a 144 wRC+ during the last week (six of the seven video games have been on the highway).
Different Choice: Adam Duvall ($4,100), Alex Verdugo ($3,900)
Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups right here: MLB $300K Further Inning [$100K to 1st]
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