Faculty soccer odds, picks for Week 12 within the Large 12: Bedlam recreation highlights convention title race

College football odds, picks for Week 12 in the Big 12: Bedlam game highlights conference title race

Protection has been the driving pressure behind No. 14 Oklahoma State’s 5-1 begin. If the Cowboys are going to tug a uncommon win over No. 18 Oklahoma within the Bedlam rivalry in Week 12, they will want their protection to return by once more.  

Let’s begin with the numbers. Oklahoma State has the No. 8 protection nationally, per SP+. This unit is twelfth nationally in factors per drive allowed (1.23) and touchdowns per drive allowed (14.6%), in addition to eighth in three-and-out proportion (42.7%). They’re additionally a top-15 protection in sack price (10%). They get to the quarterback, pressure quite a lot of adverse performs and play tight protection with their secondary. This group is salty. 

However what occurs when the Pokes play the perfect offense they will face this yr? To date, Oklahoma State has confronted two top-25 offenses per SP+: Texas (No. 23) and Iowa State (No. 24). The subsequent-best opposing offense is Tulsa at No. 57. Oklahoma, in the meantime, ranks fifth. You may make an argument, too, that Oklahoma State is going through Oklahoma on the least-favorable time. The Sooners have shored up their working recreation — the return of Rhamondre Stevenson has been an enormous enhance — and freshman receiver Marvin Mims has emerged because the go-to playmaker over the past 4 video games. 

Oklahoma State has sufficient offensive weapons to go point-for-point with Oklahoma if it must, however forcing Bedlam right into a lower-scoring affair is the Cowboys’ finest path to successful. Oklahoma State would then have a clear-eyed path to the Large 12 Championship Sport whereas Oklahoma would wish plenty of assist. That probability would not come round usually. 

Picks for Week 12

Kansas State at No. 17 Iowa State

Newest Odds:


I do not love this matchup for Chris Klieman’s staff. Ok-State’s offensive limitations have been obvious over its previous two video games, and this program continues to battle COVID-19 points. In addition they have not been nice towards the run, and Iowa State working again Breece Corridor is hitting 100 yards on the bottom in each recreation. Nonetheless, when video games are lower-scoring — the purpose whole is 46.5 — Ok-State is normally within the combine and 2-0 towards the unfold this yr on totals within the 40s. I am not a fan of Ok-State straight up, however I might give ’em 10 factors. Choose: Kansas State +11

No. 14 Oklahoma State at No. 18 Oklahoma 

This would be the finest offense Oklahoma State has confronted, however the Cowboys’ protection is not a fluke. Add within the additional emotion of the Bedlam collection, and there will not be any points with the underdogs bringing their very own juice. However can the offense make sufficient performs, and maybe simply as importantly, can quarterback Spencer Sanders offer you the entire glitz and not one of the turnovers? That and safety up entrance are going to be the distinction in whether or not the Cowboys pull the outright upset or not. However that protection has been ok to put the factors. Choose: Oklahoma State +7

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Energy rankings

1. Oklahoma State (5-1, 4-1 in Large 12): Mike Gundy has two profession wins towards Oklahoma. That is one among his higher possibilities to get a 3rd, which might all however guarantee the Cowboys a spot within the Large 12 Championship Sport. 

2. Oklahoma (5-2, 4-2): It will be attention-grabbing to see how the Sooners look coming off an open week. It is an opportunity to get a bit of more healthy, however this staff was enjoying its finest soccer earlier than the break. 

3. Iowa State (5-2, 5-1): The Cyclones are within the driver’s seat for Arlington. Corridor is as much as 1,000 yards on the bottom, and the protection is healthier than the factors per recreation point out. So long as they’ll lean on these two issues, they’re good. 

4. Texas (5-2, 4-2): Tom Herman has gained again a bit of little bit of the goodwill he misplaced early within the season. The sport towards Kansas initially scheduled for this weekend was postponed to Dec. 12, so now season-defining video games towards Iowa State and Ok-State are forward. 

5. West Virginia (5-3, 4-3): The Mountaineers are the Large 12’s most improved staff from a yr in the past, full cease. Working again Leddie Brown already has extra yards dashing (897) than WVU had as a staff a yr in the past (879). The downfield passing recreation is synching up extra, whereas the protection has about 4 or 5 Sunday dudes on it. They’re successful at house and shedding tight on the street. 

6. Kansas State (4-3, 4-2): After two robust losses — one blowout to WVU and one they gave away to Oklahoma State — Ok-State acquired the open week to recalibrate. I nonetheless assume this staff can end .500 or higher. A win at Iowa State could be strong. 

7. TCU (3-4, 3-4): The Frogs have a low ceiling. They’ve scored 14 factors or much less in three of their 4 losses. This isn’t a typical Gary Patterson protection, both. Quarterback Max Duggan is sweet when he can run, however general this staff seems … meh. 

8. Texas Tech (3-5, 2-5): Crimson Raiders working again SaRodorick Thompson both made bettors very completely satisfied or very indignant relying on whether or not they had Baylor (+1.5) or Texas Tech (-1.5). Both approach, Texas Tech squeaked it out over Baylor. 

9. Baylor (1-5, 1-5): Baylor is not good, however three losses have been by a mixed 14 factors. The Bears lived a charmed life in 2019, and it has been a tough regression within the different route this yr. 

10. Kansas (0-7, 0-6): The Jayhawks have been at the very least three-score underdogs in each convention recreation, and have misplaced by a median of 36 factors per recreation. They’ve lined as soon as — on a Pooka Williams rubbish time kickoff return for a landing towards West Virginia. Clearly, they will upset Texas this Saturday. (Kidding … or am I? Okay, sure I’m.) 

Which faculty soccer picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 12? Go to SportsLine to see which groups will win and canopy the unfold — all from a confirmed pc mannequin that has returned nearly $3,900 in revenue over the previous four-plus seasons — and discover out.

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