The second Grade I at Woodbine on Sunday is the E.P. Taylor Stakes
Race 7 (G1 E.P. Taylor)
There’s a theme on this Woodbine card of G1 races that don’t actually deserve that designation, which actually holds true for the E.P. Taylor. The morning-line favourite for this mile and 1 / 4 race is Etoile (#3), who’s topped out on the Beyer scale at 89. Her favoritism, if she does find yourself the favourite, goes to stem principally from being skilled by Chad Brown. Whereas Brown is all the time harmful in turf stakes, what this French import has achieved within the U.S. leaves a lot to be desired. In her final begin within the G2 Dance Well over this course and distance she completed an in depth second to Theodora B. (#4), however she was by no means getting by that one within the stretch. There’s undoubtedly room for enchancment in her third home begin, nevertheless the value goes to be too unappealing to warrant a play.
On my first move by way of this race I wished to be towards Theodora B., who’s gotten unbelievable journeys in every of her final two begins, each of which resulted in victories, however there are simply so few different instructions to go in. She was in a position to set a simple tempo within the Dance Well and once more final out within the TVG at Kentucky Downs, however she has the early velocity to take action once more right here and she or he’s powerful on the entrance finish. I don’t wish to put an excessive amount of inventory within the 95 Beyer she earned for her TVG rating contemplating the course it got here on, nevertheless she was in a position to maintain off the fashionable Mrs. Sippy, who can be a prohibitive favourite on this spot. I’m hoping Theodora B. is ridden aggressively out of the gate, as a result of I do assume she’ll be troublesome to run down if she makes the lead.
Rideforthecause (#1) is one other I didn’t have a lot curiosity in at first look however she grew on me after wading by way of this mediocre miasma. Her breakthrough win final out within the G2 Canadian appeared to principally be a product of journey — she sat behind the pack as a sizzling tempo unfolded in entrance of her — however it was marked enchancment over her prior type and it’s attainable she simply desires to go longer. She is a half to Say the Phrase, who’s a contender within the G1 Northern Dancer earlier on the cardboard and has run nicely at a mile and 1 / 4, so I believe she might admire the extra furlong she will get right here.
Very like Admiralty Pier within the Northern Dancer, Secret Message (#6) might be the perfect runner on this race however I didn’t actually know what to do together with her. She truly defeated the incomparable Starship Jubilee over this turf course final yr, which is a big feather in her cap, however I don’t like both of her final two races and I don’t know that this distance works for her. If she’s actually going to be 6-1, as she is on the morning line, she’s most likely value a guess, however I don’t see that taking place.
Essential: 1,4 Backup (precedence): 3,6
Order of desire: 4-1-3-6