Pitcher Record is proud to spouse with DraftKings for the 2019 season. We’ll be that includes our best selections for each day by day slate during the season and have articles devoted to the GPP.
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Most sensible Play SP: Trevor Bauer, CIN ($9,100) at SEA
Walker Buehler tops the board nowadays with a 25.2% Ok-BB% (3.40 SIERA) and he’s additionally tied with Zac Gallen for the most efficient moderate CSW amongst this night’s starters at 31.7%. However they’re each very dear so we’ll take the steep cut price with Trevor Bauer (18.1% Ok-BB%, 4,21 SIERA, 30.9% CSW). This play isn’t for the faint of middle given his excessive begin to get started volatility, however this night’s matchup in opposition to the Mariners (.313 crew wOBA, 89 wRC+ vs RHP, 29.2% CSW Price) provides to the enchantment. Sure, he has a frightening ground however we’ve additionally observed the ceiling too as he’s cleared 30 DK issues in two of his previous six turns so I’d be keen to chase the upside right here given the massive cut price off of Gallen and Buehler.
If you happen to’d slightly keep away from Bauer some other nice possibility this night at an overly an identical value level is Max Fried, who’s coming off of 2 superb begins—his closing day out in opposition to the Nationals the place he posted Nine Ok’s (34.4% CSW) and the flip prior in opposition to the White Sox the place he tallied 11 Ok’s (40% CSW). He’ll face the Phillies this night (.327 wOBA, 99 wRC vs LHP, 28.9% CSW Price).
Honorable point out: Fried, ATL ($8,900) at PHI (Jason Vargas); Lynn, TEX ($10,500) vs TB.
Worth SP: Justus Sheffield, SEA ($7,600) vs CIN
There are a few choices that I believe will have to garner some pastime nowadays, in Chase Anderson (13% Ok-BB%, 4.80 SIERA, 26.5% CSW) who will get the straightforward Marlins matchup. However taking into account the loss of Ok upside (he hasn’t exceeded Five Ks in a get started since 7/22) and that he very hardly ever is going deep into video games (he’s been held to below 80 pitches in 3 of his closing Four begins), I’d wish to glance somewhere else. Nathan Eovaldi (11.8% Ok-BB%, 4.79 SIERA, 29.5% CSW) is the opposite fascinating title however given the hot value hike from $5,800 to $7,300 and the truth that he has apparently plateaued at round 80 pitches, I’m simply now not totally satisfied there both. Which brings us to the previous Yankee Justus Sheffield (11.4% Ok-BB%, 4.69 SIERA), who used to be efficient in his closing get started netting 7 Ks (36.3% CSW) throughout 5 innings in opposition to the Cubs. He, very similar to Bauer, is a ways from a secure possibility (11.4% stroll price), however for the reason that he’s proven some just right strikeout talent and a matchup in opposition to a light-hitting Reds crew (.314 crew wOBA, 89 wRC+ vs LHP, and 28.1% CSW price), I’d be keen to take a possibility right here.
Honorable point out: Nathan Eovaldi, BOS ($7,300) at TOR (Zeuch).
Most sensible Play: OF J.D. Martinez, BOS ($4,900) at TOR
T.J. Zeuch confirmed off some decidedly underwhelming numbers in AAA this 12 months (11.6% Ok price, 5.38 xFIP). Level being, we will have to be expecting Boston to attain some runs nowadays. J.D. Martinez (.391 wOBA, 144 wRC+ vs RHP 2018-19) simply turns out a little bit too reasonable right here and springs at a pleasant cut price relative to the opposite large Boston bats in Mookie Betts ($5,400), Xander Bogaerts ($5,200) and Rafael Devers ($5,200).
Honorable mentions: OF Michael Brantley ($4, 100) vs HOU (Tanner Roark); OF A.J. Pollock ($4,700) at BAL (Blach); OF Eddie Rosario ($4,400) vs WAS (Anibal Sanchez); 2B Ryan McMahon ($4,700) vs STL (Michael Wacha); 1B Anthony Rizzo ($4,500) at SD (Ronald Bolanos).
Most sensible Play: SS Trevor Tale, COL ($5,400) vs STL
Michael Wacha (9.3% Ok-BB%, 5.06 SIERA, and 24.7% CSW) touring to Coors Box gifts an excellent purchasing alternative for Rockies bats. Wacha has proven sturdy opposite splits for somewhat a while now and that’s held true this 12 months as he’s surrendered a .380 wOBA to opposing RHB (.342 to LHB). This strains up smartly on paper for Trevor Tale who has hit RHP to the track of a .375 wOBA and 116 wRC+ this 12 months.
Honorable mentions: 3B Nolan Arenado ($5,300) vs STL (Michael Wacha); OF Charlie Blackmon ($5,500) vs STL (Michael Wacha); 3B Rafael Devers ($5,200) at TOR (T.J. Zeuch); OF Yordan Alvarez ($5,100) vs. OAK (Tanner Roark).
Worth: OF Franmil Reyes, CLE ($4,000) at LAA
Opposing LHP Jose Suarez (10.5% Ok-BB%, 5.05 SIERA, 27% CSW) has allowed a whopping .423 wOBA and .277 ISO to head along side a susceptible 16.1% Ok price to RHB. This strains up actually smartly for Franmil Reyes who has had large good fortune in opposition to lefties this 12 months evidenced by way of a .466 xwOBA.
Additionally, stay an eye fixed out at the Rockies lineup for both Samuel Hilliard or Raimel Tapia, as both one may provide some reasonable publicity to the Coors sport at sub $4,000 value tags.
Honorable mentions: 3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr (GPP) ($3,900) vs BOS (Eovaldi); OF Hunter Renfroe (GPP) ($3,700) vs CHC (Jose Quintana); OF Justin Upton ($3,900) vs. CLE (Plesac); OF Samuel Hilliard ($3,800) vs.STL (Wacha); OF Raimel Tapia ($3,800) vs STL (Wacha).
Most sensible Stack: STL at COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez)
The Cardinals simply have the very best implied crew overall of the slate, these days in far more than seven runs. It’s laborious to argue given the cases as they’ll be set to stand the RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez (-1% Ok-BB%, 6.45 SIERA, and 23.1% CSW). Sure, that’s now not a typo. Gonzalez is certainly rocking a detrimental Ok-BB%. This could be an issue at Coors. Through the splits, Gonzalez has been a little bit extra giving to LHB, permitting a .417 wOBA and .254 ISO. Despite the fact that, he’s a ways from just right in opposition to righties, ceding a .337 wOBA to opposing RHB. I don’t assume somebody is ever to excited to roster Dexter Fowler (.330 wOBA, 105 wRC+ vs RHP 2019), however because the projected leadoff guy, he indubitably merits attention at $4,500. The opposite choices listed here are highlighted by way of Kolten Wong (.339 wOBA, 112 wRC vs RHP 2019), Marcell Ozuna (.360 wOBA, 124 wRC+), Paul Goldschmidt (.331 wOBA, 105 wRC+) and Paul deJong (.330 wOBA, 105 wRC+). Matt Chippie (.309 wOBA, 91 wRC+) has had an terrible 2019, however given the approaching date at Coors, he’s for sure additionally an strategy to imagine if he cracks the lineup. Tommy Edman (.298 wOBA, 84 wRC) is oddly sufficient the most costly ($5,400) Cardinal bat at the board and at face price turns out like the very best fade of the bunch.
Honorable mentions: BOS at TOR (Zeuch); ATL at PHI (Vargas); COL vs STL (Wacha).
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