Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile 2019: Projected field and odds



Photograph: Benoit


The $1 million Breeders’ Cup Filth Mile, first run in 2007, will cross in a two-turn configuration at Santa Anita Park when it renews on Nov. 2.

Pending a call through the Mitole camp — he has a “Win and You’re In” for this race, however seems sure for the Dash going six furlongs — the possible box is shaping up as displayed under.

Tremendous Screener perception: One-turn experts who’ve proven no luck round two will have to be have shyed away from, whilst routers chopping again, in particular 3-year-olds exiting a race just like the Pennsylvania Derby (G1), are common board hitters. Click on right here for extra secrets and techniques to profitable at the Breeders’ Cup.

Odds right here is not going to steadiness given the sphere isn’t set, however as a substitute replicate the kind of worth we predict every horse to move off at on race day.

Coal Entrance
[6-1 – Keep Thirsty – Todd Pletcher – 12: 8-0-1 – $1,815,280] Coal Entrance has had what I might describe as a sneaky excellent profession. With out figuring out, I’d by no means bet that he’d display a file of 8 wins in 12 begins with graded stakes wins at 5 other tracks, together with a shuttle at Dubai previous this season. He’s missing a Grade 1 victory, however he has gained round two turns within the Razorback Handicap (G3).

Diamond Oops
[10-1 – Lookin At Fortunate – Patrick Biancone – 10: 4-2-1 – $575,110] The vast majority of this gelding’s races had been run at the grime, however maximum lately he completed 2d in a big and aggressive Shadwell Turf Mile (G1) flight at Keeneland, the place he set the tempo for many of the race. Prior to that, he used to be 2d within the Vanderbilt (G1) in the back of Imperial Trace and gained the Smile Dash (G3) at Gulfstream Park. Mix that two-turn effort at the Keeneland turf along with his grime dash luck, and possibly you’ve gotten a Filth Mile contender.

Firenze Fireplace
[20-1 – Poseidon’s Warrior – Jason Servis – 20: 7-3-2 – $1,457,600] His profession statistics on the mile distance are 6: 3-1-1 and the ones 3 victories got here in a Grade 1, a Grade Three and a indexed stakes. There’s a caveat, alternatively, as the ones had been all one-turn miles. Remaining yr, the Jason Servis runner attempted the Filth Mile round one flip at Churchill Downs and nonetheless ran fourth. At Santa Anita, he simply appears to be higher suited to sprinting. 

Massive Expectancies
[8-1 – Frost Massive – Peter Eurton – 22: 4-5-4 – $1,336,600] This 6-year-old New York-bred lives at the west coast within the barn of Santa Anita-based teacher Peter Eurton. It will have to be famous that Massive Expectancies has no longer gained a race since beating Boost up within the 2017 San Antonio (G2) at Del Mar. Most commonly lately he battled head-to-head with Catalina Cruiser within the Pat O’Brien.

Unbelievable
[10-1 – Town Zip – Bob Baffert – 9: 4-2-0 – $889,520] This 3-year-old has been an actual in-and-outer for Bob Baffert, and his ultimate two races are highest examples. Two again, he used to be the convincing winner of the Shared Trust at Del Mar after which used to be a non-threatening fourth within the Pennsylvania Derby (G1) after some regularly happening gate problems arose once more and he neglected the ruin. The Filth Mile will mark his first get started towards older horses. 

Mr Freeze
[20-1 – To Honor and Serve – Dale Romans – 8: 4-2-0 – $542,710] As a 3-year-old ultimate season, he gained the West Virginia Derby (G3) for teacher Dale Romans through open lengths. This yr he has 3 begins, which come with a victory within the fresh Ack Ack (G3) going a one-turn mile at Churchill Downs. That used to be an encouraging efficiency and used to be undoubtedly sufficient for Romans to warrant Filth Mile attention.

Mr. Cash
[9-2 – Goldencents – Bret Calhoun – 11: 5-3-0 – $1,277,220] Maximum don’t remember the fact that Mr. Cash ran within the Breeders’ Cup ultimate yr, completing fourth within the Juvenile with just a maiden win to his credit score. But, he has been a later growing 3-year-old. All of it started within the Pat Day Mile (G3) on Kentucky Derby Day when his four-race profitable streak started. The run ended at Parx after the headstrong colt were given caught at the lead with out an opportunity to chill out and misplaced through a neck. His sire, Goldencents, gained this race two years in a row. Instructor Bret Calhoun turns out to have given his horse his absolute best probability to win with this race selection.

Omaha Seashore
[2-1 – Conflict Entrance – Richard Mandella – 8: 4-3-1 -$1,301,800] Instructor Richard Mandella reversed path a bit of when he selected the Filth Mile for Omaha Seashore. Two turns within the Breeders’ Cup suits the son of Conflict Entrance absolute best, and they’ll get him in a position for a brief marketing campaign to finish 2019. Mandella is aware of how to select that proper spots for his horses taking into account he gained 4 Breeders’ Cup races in a single afternoon again in 2003. Now, Omaha Seashore will possibly cross within the gate because the Filth Mile favourite after a come-backing win within the Santa Anita Dash Championship (G1).

Additionally p
ossible: Ambassadorial, Blue Chipper, Grey Magician, Mitole, Snapper Sinclair, Trais Fluors (GB).

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