14/10/2020 Horse Racing Ideas and Greatest Bets – Caulfield, Blue Sapphire Stakes day

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14/10/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Blue Sapphire Stakes day


View Extra Free TipsEchucaGunnedahMurwillumbahKynetonNewcastleQueanbeyanTownsvilleCaulfieldToday’s Greatest BetToday’s Greatest Lengthy Shot

The Caulfield Cup Carnival continues on Wednesday the place it’s Blue Sapphire Day. The climate is okay, the observe is nice (4) and the rail is out ten metres for the whole circuit.

Blue Sapphire Stakes 🏆: View the Discipline for the Blue Sapphire Stakes

Coongy Cup 🏆: View the Discipline for the Coongy Cup

Race 1. (13:25) Bianca North (bm70) 1600m

Again Me

Discovered this race inconceivable to type out. I’ll simply go along with the confirmed metropolis performer, which is 1 Tanker (Guess Now: $5.50). Observed Jayne Ivil pre the Valley run say it was the most effective he appeared and people seems resulted in a dominant win, albeit the race was completely arrange for him. Can see Johnny Allen sliding throughout, touchdown on velocity and proving exhausting to beat.

Hazard

7 Jaffastock (Guess Now: $9.00) is a really fascinating runner. Busuttin/Younger educated colt that debuted over 1400m at Ballarat on a considerably testing observe and he appeared in a little bit of hassle 250m out however I cherished the best way he picked up late and surged exhausting to rise up and win. Steady finds Bowman to steer and this race isn’t sturdy.

Lengthy Shot

5 Oath Of Omerta (Guess Now: $10.00) is a horse regarded by Michael Hickmott as a SA Derby horse subsequent yr. He was thrown within the deep finish for his debut, which came visiting 1550m on the Parks observe when an outsider. He led and 400m out, he appeared gone, however he stored chipping away and ended up being strongest on the road. Eager to see how he goes.

Race 2. (14:00) Coongy Cup 2000m

Again Me

8 Nonconformist (Guess Now: $4.80) is a giant improver right here I really feel. He was a month between runs when racing over 1700m at Caulfield simply over two weeks in the past and simply appeared in want of the run, plus I’m not 100% positive he was completely happy on the moist observe. Will get onto firmer footing right here, fitter and he was a dominant Group ll winner final time he was at this journey.

Hazard

The apparent to beat is clearly 3 Al Galayel (Guess Now: $2.40). He comes right here in profession greatest type after a string of wins, the most recent a romp on his favorite observe when profitable the JRA Cup, beating house subsequent Metropolitan winner Mirage Dancer. Simply has to cope with the rise in weight and the very fact others have extra upside.

Lengthy Shot

5 Captain Prepare dinner (Guess Now: $20.00) is a one I could make a case for at large odds. Chris Waller educated galloper that resumed over 1700m right here the place the observe was just about heavy and he struggled to choose his toes up behind Nonconformist. Was actually good second up final prep so supplied the observe is dry, assume he can run a a lot improved race and is a knockout likelihood.

Race 3. (14:35) Beck Probuild (bm78) 2000m

Again Me

2 Grand Promenade (Guess Now: $3.10) seems probably the greatest on this system and $3+ seems greater than acceptable. Maher/Eustace educated gelding that’s been wonderful in two runs again from a break, each over the mile, with the most recent at Flemington behind Affair To Keep in mind. He’s racing like he needs extra floor, which he will get, and it is a winnable race. Actually eager on him.

Hazard

3 Gamay (Guess Now: $4.20) is an Archie Alexander educated mare that ran second within the Affair To Keep in mind race talked about above. Given a candy steer within the run and loomed massive to win, however the eventual winner acquired a miracle cut up and dashed via exhausting to rise up and win. She’s racing nicely and is confirmed at this journey. Key and I thunk solely menace.

Lengthy Shot

7 Hunboshi (Guess Now: $23.00) is on the short again up for the Luke Oliver workforce after contesting the Pinker Pinker on Friday night time at Cranbourne and he or she was one in all a few sturdy closers behind all the best way winner West Wind. From gate one, would like to see Rodd take benefit. One for multiples for positive if that gate is used.

Race 4. (15:10) Blue Sapphire Stakes 1200m

Again Me

2 Anders (Guess Now: $1.40) seems the protected possibility of the three. His sustained velocity when profitable the SAN Domenico would have ensured him a spot within the Everest, however previous to the Moir, harm pressured him out and freshened up for this after which the Coolmore Stud. He’ll lead and needs to be too good all issues being equal.

Hazard

1 Hanseatic (Guess Now: $3.50) has class and might be inside vary to trigger hassle. He took on some bug large girls and boys within the Moir and though he beat one runner house, he wasn’t completely disgraced behind Pippie. Significantly better positioned right here and I feel he saves his greatest for Caulfield. Worth hole between he and Anders is a contact too large IMO.

Lengthy Shot

3 Ranting (Guess Now: $8.00) is the outsider of the trio however $8.50+ is loopy for him. Three horse race and his type isn’t something to sneeze at. Ran within the Danehill and loomed massive to win the Group ll however simply couldn’t fairly end it off when third to Doubtland. Assume that type is stable sufficient to say a win right here wouldn’t shock in any respect.

Race 5. (15:45) Hyland Race Colors (84) 2407m

Again Me

It’ll be very fascinating to see what Crew Williams does with 7 Saracen Knight (Guess Now: $2.70), whether or not he goes to a race just like the Bendigo Cup, or does he win this and so they have a crack on the Lexus  Stakes on Derby Day to win a manner into the Melbourne Cup. He wouldn’t shame himself within the 2020 Melbourne Cup IMO based mostly on what he did when profitable right here final day trip, so with that in thoughts, he’s clearly the one to beat.

Hazard

He’s not one in all mine, however 10 Yonkers (Guess Now: $9.00) is worth right here exterior the fav. I say that as a result of Cadre Du Noir was crushed honest and sq. at Rosehill final day trip in a really weak 78, but Yonkers and a few others from Sydney have contested sturdy 88 races and been removed from disgraced. Bowman steers and out of doors the fav, it is a skinny race.

Lengthy Shot

1 Sin To Win (Guess Now: $20.00) possible has eyes on the 2800m race on Cup Day at Flemington. He’s been a gutsy campaigner for connections and to be honest, his latest runs have been in stronger races than this, along with his resumption behind Saracen Knight being superb from the again. $21+ is loopy for him and will simply have one thing on him to put.

Race 6. (16:25) Village Stakes 1200m

Again Me

4 William Thomas (Guess Now: $4.80) loves racing over the brief course at Caulfield and will enhance with the run underneath the belt. That run was 4 weeks in the past right here at this journey when again and shutting off strongly, simply failing to get there when third to From Inside. Good second up file and needs to be sturdy on the finish of this.

Hazard

3 Coruscate (Guess Now: $3.10) is a James Cummings educated gelding that appeared to discover a excellent race when he resumed within the Testa Rossa and underneath a assured steer from Olly, the bets had been landed and he was dominant in profitable, with one thing in reserve to the attention. Maps to get an ideal run and will take some beating.

Lengthy Shot

The 1400m race on Cup Day does look an actual goal race for 7 Bravo Tango (Guess Now: $9.00), and understandably so given he gained the race final yr, so unsure I might again him to win right here, however is one actually for exotics. He resumed behind Coruscate and was god late, along with his situation simply giving manner late. He’ll come on from that and attracts smooth.

Race 7. (17:05) Girls’ Day Vase 1600m

Again Me

One other race I struggled with. On prime is 8 Sovereign Award (Guess Now: $6.50). This horse is an absolute horror present to steer by the seems together with her manners being an actual concern, however Jamie Kah acquired her to change off on the Valley and as soon as that occurred, it was race over. She both leads these or sits exterior Ocean’s 13 and if she will be able to calm down once more, she’ll take some operating down.

Hazard

This time 12 months in the past, 5 Missile Mantra (Guess Now: $7.00) went very near profitable the Thousand Guineas. Hasn’t actually gone on with it since, however her final begin effort within the Blazer was greater than encouraging. Cherished the best way she discovered the road off a reasonable velocity. Will get the Winkers again on and rises as much as the mile, which ought to go well with.

Lengthy Shot

Class will carry 1 Spanish Reef (Guess Now: $10.00) a good distance and relative weights, she may be very a lot nicely in. Comes via the Shares Stakes on the Valley and was good late behind Mystic Journey in an encouraging run, which adopted a watch catching resumption. If she will be able to settle nearer within the run, she’ll be very harmful.

Race 8. (17:45) Nick Johnstone R/property (84) 1400m

Again Me

Arduous to knock a winner and that’s what 15 Maritana (Guess Now: $6.50) is. Admittedly is a severe rise in grade/depth, however Julien Welsh does look to have a reasonably promising horse on his fingers. He wasn’t 100% on the moist observe final day trip however he nonetheless managed to steadiness up and end greatest. Does no work from the within gate and the best way he’s been hitting the road, 1400m seems preferrred.

Hazard

2 Adelaide Ace (Guess Now: $9.50) is the most effective horse within the race, however the gate makes issues very tough. He brings the A1 type into this with that Windstorm/Buffalo River type, which was nicely and really franked in spades final Saturday. if he can get luck from the extensive barrier and an honest drag into the race, he’ll take some beating.

Lengthy Shot

14 La Tigeresa (Guess Now: $11.00) is one other with a tough gate to beat however Jason Warren has her going nicely I really feel. Has had a mini clean up since racing at this observe/distance towards the Mares when again and shutting off properly late behind Parmie. Ought to have the ability to get three extensive cowl and is deserving of a metropolis win this prep.

BEST BET: Race 5 Quantity 7 Saracen Knight

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number one Grand Promenade

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Quantity 15 Maritana

 

Quaddie Ideas (Races 5 By To Eight):

Leg One: 7

Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg Three: 1, 5, 8, 9, 11

Leg 4: 2, 9, 14, 15

$50 Funding = 62.50% of the dividend if profitable

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All odds are topic to alter. Odds listed are right on the time of the most recent replace.



*Present prospects solely. 2nd Racing guess. Excl SA & WA. T’s & C’s apply. Gamble responsibly.




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